.. I have seen some comment from seasoned political reporters to the effect that:
a. there is a traditional sentiment among paid-up Conservative member (the only 'constituency' that matters in this context, however small it be) which favours those with a military 'hinterland'; and
b. in the same 'constituency', often a significant number of older women, who are also disproportionately influential because of the work they do in their Constituency organisations year-round, who may have an instinctive antipathy towards unfaithful husbands; someone called it the "ex-wives' club"
I knew very well the deserted ex-wife of a Conservative MP (he had left her for one of his colleague's wives), who nevertheless remained resolutely loyal to the Party, and may have remained a member of it.
Without seeking to comment on the relative merits of any of the candidates, if Johnson and Stewart are the final two these factors might give Stewart an edge
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