Discuss the problems and solutions to all of the situations that Pilot X finds himself in.
In the latest 'The Flying VLOG' we fly from Bournemouth to Stapleford in the final flight of 2017. The weather during this flight was by far the worst I've ever flown in. Lots of turbulence and lots of experience with that feeling I'd rather be on the ground than in the air.

Some will question why I departed in such strong winds and slow moving frontal weather. Well despite the plan, the self briefing and the forecast not showing as bad as it was. I got it wrong and once airborne wished I was on the ground.

Having to navigate around what appeared to be a line of small cb's and flying against a strong wind over the downs proved challenging and it shook me up a bit as the weather was very much hard work. Lessons learned.

Departed 0940z - Landed 1100z (Departed 20 mins later than planned)

TAF(s) in the AM
Code: Select allTAF EGLC 100802Z 1009/1018 31015KT 9999 SCT025 PROB40 TEMPO 1009/1015 31018G28KT=
TAF EGLL 101054Z 1012/1118 31012KT 9999 SCT040 BECMG 1018/1021 25008KT TEMPO 1100/1118 7000 -RADZ BKN012 PROB40 TEMPO 1102/1108 3000 RADZ BKN008=
TAF AMD EGSS 100844Z 1008/1112 31015KT 9999 BKN020 TEMPO 1008/1010 4000 RADZ BKN009 TEMPO 1009/1016 31018G28KT BECMG 1017/1020 24010KT BECMG 1100/1103 18005KT BECMG 1101/1104 7000 RA BKN009 PROB40 TEMPO 1103/1110 2500 RADZ BR BKN003 BECMG 1109/1112 36010KT 9999 NSW SCT010=

Here's the chart for the day:

What could I have done better, what could I have done once airborne?
1. Depart later
2. Turn back

Having three frontal lines lying over/near the area you want to fly over is going to be challenging at any time. The first cold front will eventually overtake the warm front and become an occlusion front which means Carp weather and probably not VFR either.

The TAF for Stansted is pretty carp and that is close to Stapleford.

Don't Forget that a TAF is a forecast only.

To get an idea of the validity of the TAF I always check back the METAR for airfields which have just had that front pass.
Paul_Sengupta, ConcordeBA, johnm and 1 others liked this
If you compare the TEMPO and BECMG entries you can basically see the passage of the fronts.

In crude terms behind a warm front you can typically expect a lowering cloud base and drizzle then the cold front comes along and displaces the lower density warm moist air which then rises and can produce lively CBs, but between those you can expect good visibility but a potentially bumpy ride if it's windy (lots of isobars)

You can also see the change of wind direction in the isobars as the fronts pass.