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Re: Another brand new 737 lost ...

PostPosted:Thu Jun 27, 2019 9:31 am
by Paul_Sengupta
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-48752932

US regulators have uncovered a possible new flaw in Boeing's troubled 737 Max aircraft that is likely to push back test flights.

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) said it had identified the "potential risk" during simulator tests, but did not reveal details.

Re: Another brand new 737 lost ...

PostPosted:Thu Jun 27, 2019 9:46 am
by profchrisreed
Not entirely surprising. I recall that previous reports told us that the FAA had relied heavily on Boeing's own testing and its own assessment of the results.

Given what has happened, the FAA's own testing will be especially rigorous, and they're unlikely to allow even minor flaws through, expecting the flight crew to cope.

Re: Another brand new 737 lost ...

PostPosted:Thu Jun 27, 2019 12:14 pm
by riverrock
From the reports, this is an issue in the potential fix found during testing in a simulator rather than an issue in the system that was installed in aircraft. Sometimes testing finds things - hopefully for Boeing's sake it is an easy software tweak.

Re: Another brand new 737 lost ...

PostPosted:Thu Jun 27, 2019 12:48 pm
by Iceman
It is a sign of the complexity of aircraft, and the accuracy of simulators these days that simulators will find design problems that the aircraft engineers didn't know they had. It used to be the case that an aircraft was designed in advance of its simulator, and design flaws went unnoticed. Now, due to system complexity, the design of an aircraft's simulator often parallels that of the real aircraft and the simulator will be finding design flaws before the aircraft ever gets to market. The fact that Boeing considers the type rating on this new variant to be the same as recent previous variants, and the lack of emphasis placed on the AoA system failure modes probably means that there are new failure modes that won't have made their way through to the 737 simulators.

The deeper the authorities now dig on the issues with this aircraft, the more they will probably find. I think that the return to service path will be rather more protracted than people currently expect.

Iceman 8)

Re: Another brand new 737 lost ...

PostPosted:Thu Jun 27, 2019 6:31 pm
by flyingjohno
Apologies if posted anywhere previously, but there's been a further Seattle Times article on the development of MCAS on the 737 MAX, dated June 22nd:

https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-ne ... afeguards/

J.

Re: Another brand new 737 lost ...

PostPosted:Thu Jun 27, 2019 8:08 pm
by Rob L
IEEE wrote:For some this is aerodynamic malpractice of the worst kind.


This is from FF page 16, where joe-fbs quotes the IEEE.

I think the IEEE author is quite right, and for them to come out with such a statement will excite the US (and other) class-action lawyers out of their socks.

There are some solemn photos on the web of 737 Max parked all over the USA (indeed, parked in Seattle car parks!)

Would you be the first passenger in one when they get re-certified?

Re: Another brand new 737 lost ...

PostPosted:Thu Jun 27, 2019 8:52 pm
by Dominie
Iceman wrote:...
The deeper the authorities now dig on the issues with this aircraft, the more they will probably find. I think that the return to service path will be rather more protracted than people currently expect.

Iceman 8)

And that is partly because it's an old design and so could have all sorts of issues buried deeply whch will now come out because the FAA are (at last) doing the job themselves and not relying on Boeing.

I agree that it could be ages yet; it'll be a brave man who signs it off without exhaustive checks being completed satisfactorily, and I doubt that people will accept the "it's a modification of a 1960s design and so it doesn't have to meet current standards" argument (which, by the way, is something that Piper and Cessna also rely on).

Re: Another brand new 737 lost ...

PostPosted:Thu Jun 27, 2019 9:03 pm
by Waveflyer
Rob L wrote:There are some solemn photos on the web of 737 Max parked all over the USA (indeed, parked in Seattle car parks!)


Aircraft numbers amaze me, Airbus build about 60 A320 variants every month!

Just out of interest has anybody any idea how many B737 Max aircraft are parked up?

Re: Another brand new 737 lost ...

PostPosted:Thu Jun 27, 2019 9:05 pm
by Dave W
Dominie wrote:...t the "it's a modification of a 1960s design and so it doesn't have to meet current standards" argument (which, by the way, is something that Piper and Cessna also rely on).

Good job, really - otherwise there'd be a pretty tiny GA fleet under decades old.

And it's not as though engineering design faults are a high cause of fatal GA accidents. New doesn't automatically mean safer.

Re: Another brand new 737 lost ...

PostPosted:Fri Jun 28, 2019 8:27 am
by eltonioni
Rob L wrote: Would you be the first passenger in one when they get re-certified?


That's the trillion dollar question.

Without having a superstitious bone in my body, and as a believer and the professionalism and technical ability of engineers, there's not a chance that me or mine will be getting on a B737MAX for years to come.

Not. A. Chance.

Re: Another brand new 737 lost ...

PostPosted:Fri Jun 28, 2019 8:44 am
by neilmurg
Waveflyer wrote:Just out of interest has anybody any idea how many B737 Max aircraft are parked up?
It's around 380 + 52+ 42*3(soon to be 4) = 560ish, + any built not yet delivered when it was grounded (20-40?).
Rob L wrote: Would you be the first passenger in one when they get re-certified?
Yup. I'd take extra care when crossing the road AND buy a lottery ticket. And so will everyone else for $20 off the ticket price.

This guy,[edit] a 777 P2[/edit], has a good take on things IMO

Re: Another brand new 737 lost ...

PostPosted:Fri Jun 28, 2019 9:43 am
by Bill McCarthy
As they have been grounded for so long - how many pilots have gone “out of date” on type and need requalification ?

Re: Another brand new 737 lost ...

PostPosted:Fri Jun 28, 2019 9:47 am
by Dominie
Dave W wrote:
Dominie wrote:...t the "it's a modification of a 1960s design and so it doesn't have to meet current standards" argument (which, by the way, is something that Piper and Cessna also rely on).

Good job, really - otherwise there'd be a pretty tiny GA fleet under decades old.

And it's not as though engineering design faults are a high cause of fatal GA accidents. New doesn't automatically mean safer.

Err... how about seat belts/harnesses, seat design (eg headrests), flammable materials (esp cockpit trim), egress (single door!) and crash survivability in general for starters?

Re: Another brand new 737 lost ...

PostPosted:Fri Jun 28, 2019 9:50 am
by Dominie
Bill McCarthy wrote:As they have been grounded for so long - how many pilots have gone “out of date” on type and need requalification ?

That's easy - Boeing will say that you're OK if you're still current on a different mark of 737, or else an hour in the sim will do fine! :wink:

Re: Another brand new 737 lost ...

PostPosted:Fri Jun 28, 2019 9:57 am
by cockney steve
With the rumblings of litigation in the background, and it's cosy relationship with Boeing now under an intense international spotlight, I'd venture to suggest that the Max, when it eventually gets an honest and true certification, will be one of the safest,most airworthy big commercial jets to take to the skies in the last 30-or- so years.

Were the screamliner, sorry, Dreamliner to have had such monitoring, assessment and oversight, they wouldn't be flying around with their batteries in big tin boxes with drainpipe smoke-vents. :twisted: